The VO2 Max GuideFor fitness that lasts
Raising it

How long does it take to improve VO2 max?

By GyroscopeUpdated November 14, 20268 sources
On this page
  1. What the trials found
  2. Why your watch is slower still
  3. How far is your next group?
  4. Losing it is faster

About 6 to 13 weeks of three sessions a week, the length of most training trials, for a change you can measure. Watches lag behind, so retest the same way after 8 to 12 weeks and ignore the week-to-week wobble.

People start a new plan, check their watch after two weeks, see nothing, and decide it isn’t working. Even when the body is changing, a two-week gain is smaller than the error of any watch or field test. Fitness builds like interest in a savings account, slowly and steadily, and you can drain it a lot faster than you fill it.

We’d plan in blocks of 8 to 12 weeks, with a test on day one and another at the end, and nothing in between.

What the trials found

StudyWhoHow longGain
Norwegian 4x4 trial, 200740 fit young men, three sessions a week8 weeks7.2 percent, 55.5 to 60.4
Review of 37 interval studies, 2013Inactive or lightly active adults under 456 to 13 weeks0.51 liters a minute on average, 0.8 to 0.9 with longer intervals
HERITAGE, 1999481 inactive adults20 weeksAbout 0.4 liters a minute on average, from almost nothing to over 1 liter
Dallas men at 50, 20015 men6 months14 percent, 2.9 to 3.3 liters a minute

A review of 28 trials found longer programs gave bigger gains, about 2 points more for steady training and 3 more for intervals.

Why your watch is slower still

A watch estimate needs qualifying workouts to update. Garmin’s manual says it needs a few runs to learn, and Apple Watch only learns from outdoor walks, runs and hikes. A 2022 review of 14 wearable studies put a meaningful change at 1.75 to 3.5 points, and a single watch can be off by more than that. That’s why a block of 8 to 12 weeks, retested the same way, gives a clearer answer than daily checks.

How far is your next group?

The tool below shows how many points you are from the next group for your age and sex, and how long that took the 4x4 group at their pace of about 0.9 percent a week. Here are a few examples from the US chart.

  • A woman in her 30s at 28 is 0.3 points below the middle, about 2 weeks at that pace.
  • A man in his 40s at 42 is 1 point below the top quarter, about 3 weeks.
  • A man in his 50s at 33 is 3.3 points below the top quarter, about 12 weeks.

People respond very differently, so treat those as a guide. If you’ve had no change after 12 weeks, make the hard sessions longer or more frequent.

Losing it is faster

When trained people stopped completely, VO2 max fell 7 percent in three weeks and 16 percent by eight. Keep some training going through busy weeks, since the steepest loss comes in the first three weeks of doing nothing. More in how fast do you lose VO2 max?

Sex
Test watch and field tests use the treadmill

Fitness age

45Your age

32Fitness age

VO2 max 42, on the FRIEND 2022 treadmill tests

73thpercentile

42 is about the 73rd percentile for men in their 40s, so you have the engine of a 32-year-old. Group: above average

Straight lines between the published deciles, our arithmetic. The table stops at the 10th and 90th.

The next group up

High starts at 43.1 for men in their 40s, 1.1 points from you.

At the pace of the 4x4 trial (7.2 percent in 8 weeks, three sessions a week), that took about 3 weeks.

People respond very differently: on the same 20-week plan, 481 adults gained from almost nothing to over 1 liter a minute (HERITAGE, 1999).

Hold it and climb

Keep your number, move your birthday. The chart falls every decade, so the same number ranks higher.

42 at 55 would be about the 87th percentile for men in their 50s.

What one group up has gone with

In 122,007 adults sent for a treadmill test at the Cleveland Clinic, followed for a median 8.4 years, the risk of death compared group by group:

  • Low against elite5.04x
  • Below average against above average1.41x
  • Smoking against not smoking1.41x
  • Diabetes against none1.40x
  • High against elite1.30x

Comparisons between groups in one observational study of people sent for a stress test, with fitness estimated from the treadmill stage, not measured with a mask. They show what fitness has gone with, not what changing yours will do. The elite group, the top 2 percent, sits past where the US chart stops, so we never place anyone in it. Years of life are lifespan.guide's subject: see what it means in years.

The whole climb

102030405060Living on your own gets hard below 1820s30s40s50s60s70s80sYou
10th to 90th percentileThe middle halfThe middleUS men, ml/kg/min, from 16,278 treadmill tests (FRIEND 2022).

16,278 treadmill and 6,101 bike tests from 34 US labs. Bike numbers run lower for the same fitness, so a bike test is ranked on the bike table.

What your result means, and what to do next

  • Low or below average. Most of the health gap sits in the first step up, so this is where training pays the most.
  • Above average or high. Hold it as the years pass. Holding steady after 40 already counts as climbing.
  • The next group up is a target for one training block, but people respond very differently, from almost nothing to a lot.
  1. Make sure the number is real. A watch can be several points off. Get your true VO2 max
  2. Start the two layers. Cardio most days at a pace where you can still talk, and one or two hard sessions a week. How to raise it
  3. Retest the same way in 8 to 12 weeks. Same test, same route or same watch. Believe a change of more than 2 to 4 points.
8 sources
  1. Bacon AP and others, VO2max trainability and high intensity interval training in humans: a meta-analysis, PLOS ONE, 2013pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
  2. Helgerud J and others, Aerobic high-intensity intervals improve VO2max more than moderate training, Medicine and Science in Sports and Exercise, 2007europepmc.org
  3. Milanović Z, Sporiš G and Weston M, Effectiveness of high-intensity interval training (HIT) and continuous endurance training for VO2max improvements: a systematic review and meta-analysis of controlled trials, Sports Medicine, 2015europepmc.org
  4. Bouchard C and others, Familial aggregation of VO2max response to exercise training: results from the HERITAGE Family Study, Journal of Applied Physiology, 1999europepmc.org
  5. McGuire DK and others, A 30-year follow-up of the Dallas Bedrest and Training Study: II. Effect of age on cardiovascular adaptation to exercise training, Circulation, 2001europepmc.org
  6. Molina-Garcia P and others, Validity of estimating the maximal oxygen consumption by consumer wearables: a systematic review with meta-analysis and expert statement of the INTERLIVE network, Sports Medicine, 2022pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
  7. Coyle EF and others, Time course of loss of adaptations after stopping prolonged intense endurance training, Journal of Applied Physiology, 1984europepmc.org
  8. Kaminsky LA and others, Updated reference standards for cardiorespiratory fitness measured with cardiopulmonary exercise testing (FRIEND), Mayo Clinic Proceedings, 2022mayoclinicproceedings.org

Get your true VO2 max

Get your true VO2 max

Start from your watch, answer a few sanity checks about stairs, your pace and any test you have timed, and get your probable number with the reasoning, your fitness age and twelve dated weeks to raise it.

  • Your watch, checked against what you can do
  • Every number from a published study
  • Free, in about three minutes
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